Dollar near one-week high as hot U.S. inflation fans Fed hike bets, peace talks stall

The dollar held near a ​one-week high on Wednesday as risk sentiment soured after a hot U.S. inflation reading sent Treasury ‌yields higher, while oil stayed elevated on renewed uncertainties in the Middle East. The euro stood at $1.1735 and sterling traded at $1.3533 , both down roughly 0.05% against the greenback. The Reuters Iran Briefing newsletter keeps you informed with the latest developments and analysis of the Iran war. Sign up here. The risk-sensitive Australian dollar was 0.1% weaker at $0.72335 and the New Zealand dollar traded down 0.2% at $0.5939 .

The ​U.S. dollar index , which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, was steady ​at 98.325 - near the strongest level in a week. "I think it's a less positive risk ⁠tone, effectively," said Ray Attrill, head of FX strategy at National Australia Bank. "The failure of equity markets to ​continue to push ahead, combined with higher yields, primarily in the wake of the CPI numbers, is a combination ​that has been a little bit of a floor under the dollar for the time being." The U.S. consumer price index rose 3.8% in the 12 months through April, the biggest year-on-year increase since May 2023, as the oil shock triggered by the U.S.-Israeli war ​on Iran pushed prices higher.

Yields on the U.S. two-year note , which typically moves in step with Federal Reserve interest ​rate expectations, and the benchmark 10-year note hovered near seven-week highs; they last traded at 3.9896% and 4.4629%, respectively. Markets have largely ‌priced ⁠out any chance of a rate cut from the Fed this year, while expectations for a hike of at least 25 basis points at the central bank's December meeting rose to 35%, according to CME's FedWatch Tool. Meanwhile, oil prices stayed elevated, with Brent crude futures last trading near $107 a barrel.

Hopes for a peace deal in the Middle ​East dwindled after President Donald ​Trump said a ceasefire ⁠with Iran was "on life support" after Tehran rejected a U.S. proposal to end the war. Trump on Tuesday said he does not think he will need Beijing's help to end ​the war with Iran ahead of his meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping later ​this week.

Elsewhere, the ⁠Japanese yen was largely steady at 157.715 per dollar after a sudden move stronger on Tuesday stoked speculation of a "rate check" by authorities, which is often a precursor to a currency intervention. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the U.S. ⁠and Japan ​believe that excess volatility in the currency market is undesirable, comments that ​were seen as offering some support to Tokyo's recent round of intervention to prop up the yen. China's yuan traded around 6.79 per dollar, near ​its strongest level since February 2023

Related Posts
Commnets
or

For faster login or register use your social account.

Connect with Facebook